Thursday, October 19, 2006

Ohio Playoff Projections - Week 8, Division 4

Here's the projected matchups for Division 4, Region 16

#8 Dayton Oakwood at #1 Columbus Jonathan Alder
#5 Lemon-Monroe at #4 Clinton-Massie
#6 North College Hill at #3 Wyoming
#7 Deer Park at #2 Blanchester

This region is extremely volatile. Jonathan Alder plays Clinton-Massie in their final games; if C-M wins, they would be the #1 squad at a perfect 10-0. Blanchester should have no trouble winning out against East Clinton and New Richmond, but won't have enough points to move past #2. Wyoming needs to win one of its last two to get in; showing my Cowboy favoritism, I'm saying they win their last two against Deer Park and Goshen, the latter probably more doable than the former.

Lemon-Monroe is pretty much locked in unless they lose their last two. North College Hill should feel pretty comfortable, as only Summit Country Day and Madeira likely stand between them and the post-season. Deer Park needs one more win, either over Wyoming or Hughes, to feel comfortable.

Oakwood should do no worse than split their last two, which would put them just slightly ahead of Finneytown, who only has Taylor and CCD remaining. The difference, however, is less than 0.5 points, so something as simple as Mariemont beating CHCA would push them over the top. Springfield Northwestern is the only other school with an outside shot at the playoffs, but they would need significant help from the two above teams.

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